Analysis: The Long-term Sustainability of the Iran Nuclear Deal
کد مقاله : 1251-IRFP-FULL
نویسندگان:
Kulsoom Belal *
Institute of Policy Studies (IPS), University of Management and Technology (UMT)
چکیده مقاله:
July 14, 2016 spectacularly marked the one year completion of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action or the Iran Nuclear Deal. Despite a promising start of the deal, which surmounted many impediments and reviews in Iranian Majlis and US Congress, the nuclear deal remains highly controversial in Tehran and Washington. Questions abound, such as will both sides live up to their commitments, will the regime change in US or the return of Iranian hardliners breach the terms of the deal, will the deal moderate Iran and US behavior towards each other, or what would be the reactions of the regional countries who think that Iran has won and they have lost with the signing of the deal. The answers to these questions, in fact, give a view of the long term sustainability of the Iran nuclear deal, which require a holistic analysis entailing three aspects of the deal: milestones achieved by the deal to date, domestic challenges to the deal, and regional challenges to the deal. The long term sustainability of the deal is important not only for the stability of relations between Iran and the West, especially the US, but it will also determine the security dynamics of Middle East. For its part, Iran had complied with the deal when it rolled back its nuclear program on January 16 and now it’s time for the US to show its commitment to the deal, which is important for a stabilizing influence on the region and also on the world.
کلیدواژه ها:
JCPOA, Iran, US, Nuclear deal, Saudi Arab, Israel, UAE, Rouhani, Sanctions, International cooperation
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